{"id":115621,"date":"2019-09-24T09:09:17","date_gmt":"2019-09-24T16:09:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?p=115621"},"modified":"2019-09-24T14:13:37","modified_gmt":"2019-09-24T21:13:37","slug":"boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/","title":{"rendered":"Prime Minister Boris Johnson Now Odds On to Be UK’s Shortest-Serving Leader"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bookies believe British prime minister Boris Johnson<\/a> will not survive in the job until the end of the year, which could make him the country\u2019s shortest-serving leader of all time.<\/p>\n

\"Boris
Boris Johnson\u2019s days in Number 10 may be numbered after the UK Supreme Court found he acted illegally in suspending parliament. (Image: Getty)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The odds of Johnson making it through 2019 were slashed on Tuesday from 6\/4 to 10\/11 after the UK\u2019s Supreme Court ruled emphatically that he had acted unlawfully in suspending parliament earlier this month.<\/p>\n

The ruling was described by the BBC today as \u201clegal, constitutional and political dynamite,\u201d and will come as a fresh blow to Johnson\u2019s short but tumultuous tenure.<\/p>\n

Critics of the prime minister’s decision to suspend parliament — a procedure known as \u201cproroguing\u201d — for five weeks argued that he had done so to stop lawmakers from scrutinizing his plans for engineering the UK\u2019s withdrawal from the European Union ahead of the October 31 deadline.<\/p>\n

These include the possibility of a \u201cno-deal Brexit,\u201d which many fear could have disastrous economic consequences<\/a> for the country, but which Johnson sees as key to his brinkmanship negotiating tactics.<\/p>\n

\u2018Extreme\u2019 Effect on Democracy <\/strong><\/h2>\n

In the days before parliament\u2019s suspension, lawmakers scrambled to get a bill across the finishing line that made no-deal illegal. Many suggested that proroguing parliament held chilling implications for British democracy.<\/p>\n

The Supreme Court agreed. The court\u2019s president, Lady Hale, said the process was illegal because \u201cit had the effect of frustrating or preventing the ability of parliament to carry out its constitutional functions without reasonable justification.”<\/p>\n

“The effect on the fundamentals of democracy was extreme,” she added.<\/p>\n

\n

Despite calls to step down, Johnson, who is currently in New York, appeared to be in no mood to resign on Tuesday, arguing that the ruling made his job of securing a good trade deal with the EU more difficult.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Nevertheless, bookmakers now believe he only has a 48 percent probability of seeing out the year as prime minister, down from a 77.8 percent chance before today\u2019s ruling was announced.<\/p>\n

Johnson has been in office for 62 days, and needs to survive another 57 in order to avoid the stigma of becoming Britain\u2019s shortest termer. In case you\u2019re wondering, the current holder of that title is George Canning, who died in office in 1827 after 119 days.<\/p>\n

Who Would Win a UK General Election?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

All this Brexit-based turmoil makes a general election before the end of the year a very likely prospect (1\/3 with bookmakers), with November now considered the most likely month. Paddy Power has Johnson as an underdog to lead the Conservative Party — which no longer has a parliamentary majority — to the ballot.<\/p>\n

Betting volume often provides a clearer picture than bookmakers\u2019 actual odds when trying to predict an election winner, simply because people will wager wildly varying amounts of money on their preferred outcome, but they only get to vote once.<\/p>\n

And it\u2019s really, really close. According to Oddschecker, 38 percent of all bets are currently being placed on the Conservative Party, while 37 percent on Labour, the main opposition party.<\/p>\n

Plenty can happen before election day, of course — although on this evidence, we\u2019re looking at another hung parliament, with no one party gaining a clear majority. That suggests more of the same Brexit impasse in the legislature that has been plaguing British politics for the past few years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bookies believe British prime minister Boris Johnson will not survive in the job until the end of the year, which could make him the country\u2019s shortest-serving leader of all time. The odds of Johnson making it through 2019 were slashed on Tuesday from 6\/4 to 10\/11 after the UK\u2019s Supreme Court ruled emphatically that he […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":115628,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[61,1074],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBoris Johnson Odds On to Be UK's Shortest-Serving Prime Minister<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Boris Johnson Odds On to Be UK's Shortest-Serving Prime Minister after UK Supreme Court rules he broke the law.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Boris Johnson Odds On to Be UK's Shortest-Serving Prime Minister\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Boris Johnson Odds On to Be UK's Shortest-Serving Prime Minister after UK Supreme Court rules he broke the law.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Casino.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Casino.OrgNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-09-24T16:09:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-09-24T21:13:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/boris-johnson-03-gq-10jun19_getty_b.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Philip Conneller\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@casinoorgphilc\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@Casino_Org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Philip Conneller\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/\",\"name\":\"Boris Johnson Odds On to Be UK's Shortest-Serving Prime Minister\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/boris-johnson-03-gq-10jun19_getty_b.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-09-24T16:09:17+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-09-24T21:13:37+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/58769b72851c8cf117fb58ca150ebf8b\"},\"description\":\"Boris Johnson Odds On to Be UK's Shortest-Serving Prime Minister after UK Supreme Court rules he broke the law.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/boris-johnson-odds-on-to-be-uks-shortest-serving-prime-minister\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/boris-johnson-03-gq-10jun19_getty_b.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/boris-johnson-03-gq-10jun19_getty_b.jpg\",\"width\":1920,\"height\":1280,\"caption\":\"UK parliament is in meltdown as PM Boris Johnson is defeated on Brexit and calls for a general election. 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He currently focuses his coverage on gaming law, white-collar crime, global money laundering, tribal gaming, politics, and regulation. Philip was the original features editor for poker\u2019s Bluff Magazine and editor for Bluff Europe, which he helped launch. His writing has also been featured in ESPN, Forbes, Time Out, The Sun, and The Daily Star, as well as iGaming Business, eGaming Review, and numerous other industry news and tech websites. His news stories for Casino.org\/news have been linked by The Washington Post, The Daily Mail, People Magazine, and Jimmy Fallon's Tonight Show, among many others. Philip once won $20,000 with 7-2 off-suit. He has been reprimanded for unwittingly playing Elton John\u2019s piano on two separate occasions on both sides of the Atlantic. He became a writer because he is a lousy pianist. Philip lives outside London with his wife and children, where he spends his time agonizing about Arsenal FC. 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