{"id":100907,"date":"2019-03-19T11:25:40","date_gmt":"2019-03-19T18:25:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/?p=100907"},"modified":"2019-03-19T11:25:40","modified_gmt":"2019-03-19T18:25:40","slug":"ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/","title":{"rendered":"NCAA March Madness First Round Upset Alerts Issued for Wisconsin, Iowa State, Marquette"},"content":{"rendered":"

March Madness officially tips off tonight with the First Four play-in games, but the real actions gets underway on Thursday when the First Round begins the craziness that is the NCAA men’s college basketball tournament.<\/p>\n

\"March
With last year’s Cinderella Loyola-Chicago out for this year’s NCAA March Madness tournament, several teams with longer odds hope to step into the role. (Image: Encore Boston Harbor)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

A total of 68 teams have reached the tourney. Calculating odds of a seeded sports tournament isn’t an exact science, but statisticians have opined in recent years that correctly predicting each and every<\/a> March Madness game could be as long as one in 128 billion.<\/p>\n

\n

To put that in perspective, winning Mega Millions has far better odds at just one in 302.5 million.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

In March Madness, the unexpected should be expected. And in 2019, data suggests upsets could come as early as the first round.<\/p>\n

Upset Alerts<\/b><\/h2>\n

FiveThirtyEight<\/i>, statistician Nate Silver’s online site, has formulated predictions on the NCAA tournament based on input from both computers and human analysis. And three games have decent chances for a big upset.<\/p>\n

\n

In the South, No. 5 Wisconsin plays No. 12 Oregon. The Ducks are playing well after a Pac-12 tournament win, and have a 40 percent chance of beating the Badgers, so says Silver’s model. The Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas agrees, as the sportsbook has Wisconsin spotting Oregon just 1.5 points.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

While the Big Ten team in the South might be upset, in the Midwest a Big Ten conference team hopes to play spoiler. No. 11 Ohio State plays No. 6 Iowa State where Silver says the Buckeyes have a 33 percent chance of winning. Las Vegas has the Cyclones spotting the underdogs 5.5 points.<\/p>\n

In the West, No. 5 Marquette is on alert against No. 12 Murray State. FiveThirtyEight <\/i>gives the Racers a 36 percent chance of beating the Golden Eagles. The SuperBook has Marquette spotting just four points.<\/p>\n

The upset of them all came a year ago when the UMBC Retrievers became the first No. 16 team to beat a No. 1 seed (Virginia Cavaliers) in the history of the NCAA men’s tournament. There have been 16 upsets involving a No. 12 and No. 5 team over the last decade.<\/p>\n

Contenders Expected to Roll Early<\/b><\/h2>\n

While the first round threatens the end of the season for many teams, for the top programs, many of the games are expected to be blowouts.<\/p>\n

Duke has a greater than 99 percent chance of beating the winner of the NCCU\/NDST play-in game. The three other No. 3 seeds \u2013 Virginia, UNC, and Gonzaga \u2013 are all at 99 percent.<\/strong><\/p>\n

UNC is spotting No. 16 Iona 24 points, while Virginia is spotting No. 16 Gardner-Webb 23.5.<\/p>\n

As for winning the national championship, overall top seed Duke<\/a> has the strongest chance at 19 percent. Virginia is next at 17 percent, and then Gonzaga (14 percent) and UNC (nine percent).<\/p>\n

The SuperBook slightly varies, with the current odds at Duke (9\/4), Gonzaga (9\/2), and UNC and Virginia (6\/1).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

March Madness officially tips off tonight with the First Four play-in games, but the real actions gets underway on Thursday when the First Round begins the craziness that is the NCAA men’s college basketball tournament. A total of 68 teams have reached the tourney. Calculating odds of a seeded sports tournament isn’t an exact science, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":100911,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,1074],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNCAA March Madness First Round Teams on Upset Alert<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"March Madness is all about upsets, and the first round of the men's basketball tournament poses several matchups that could come down to the buzzer.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"NCAA March Madness First Round Teams on Upset Alert\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"March Madness is all about upsets, and the first round of the men's basketball tournament poses several matchups that could come down to the buzzer.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Casino.org\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Casino.OrgNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-03-19T18:25:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/loyola-second-round-ap_img.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1440\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"907\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Devin O'Connor\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@CasinoorgDevinO\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@Casino_Org\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Devin O'Connor\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/\",\"name\":\"NCAA March Madness First Round Teams on Upset Alert\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/loyola-second-round-ap_img.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-03-19T18:25:40+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-03-19T18:25:40+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/#\/schema\/person\/02b4fee8814a4003903b0021bffb4ebf\"},\"description\":\"March Madness is all about upsets, and the first round of the men's basketball tournament poses several matchups that could come down to the buzzer.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/ncaa-march-madness-first-round-teams-on-upset-alert\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/loyola-second-round-ap_img.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/loyola-second-round-ap_img.jpg\",\"width\":1440,\"height\":907,\"caption\":\"With last year's Cinderella Loyola-Chicago out for this year's NCAA Marc Madness tournament, several lower-ranked teams hope to step into the role. 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